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Statistical Fail



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» 213 Failures in Communication

  1. MRN ♂ says:

    Everyone say it with me:
    “That’s more than half!”

  2. MRN ♂ says:

    More like the Absinthe Clearinghouse Blog

  3. Czuhc says:

    They call THAT an article? Where are the references?

  4. technicolor says:

    Don’t act like y’all passed the probabilty section of your high school math class.

  5. Spiraling says:

    When you open your mouth or type, there is a 50/50 chance you will FAIL, and 9 times out of 10 you do…

  6. Kestrel says:

    Ok, that’s technically not a contradiction – something that has a 50% chance of happening CAN happen only once (or nine times) out of some particular set of ten tries. That’s the whole point of probability – a completely fair coin toss can come up heads 100 times out of 100; it’s just not very likely to happen that way.

    /pedantry

    • Nebel says:

      I’m really glad that there are at least some people here that get statistics. A 50/50 chance does not necessarily mean something happens half of the time, it just means there are 2 possible outcomes and they’re both equally likely to happen.

    • Caghs says:

      Okies, I was wondering about that. I’m mathematically challenged, so I wondered whether it was just my lack of understanding, but if I flip a coin, it has a 50/50 chance of coming up heads.

      I flip that coin ten times, it could come up tails once, and heads the rest.

      Therefore, it had a 50/50 chance of coming up heads, and nine times out of ten it did!

      I feel better now that I know it’s not just me :)

  7. Jaclyn says:

    fifty percent of the time it works EVERY TIME…

  8. StrawberryFairy says:

    Yu guys do realise that 75% of all statistics are made up on the spot.

  9. Aja says:

    A blog within a blog?
    *head asplodes*

  10. Failure to understand dry humour fail

  11. de says:

    50% + 90% fail.

  12. Million to one chances happen nine times out of ten you know!

  13. Matt says:

    Do you people choose not to understand humor because you have some sort of ideological objection to abstinence, or are you really this stupid?

    Don’t answer, I don’t really care.

  14. ObsidianWalrus says:

    *Argh* dawnt poke trawll!!

  15. Old Codger says:

    Surely you can’t mean that…

  16. Slothman says:

    More like understanding fail.

    It’s clearly a deliberate error. I’ve heard it in the form “If there’s a 1 in a million chance something will go wrong, 9 times out of ten it will happen.”

    Whoever submitted this and whoever actually thought it was a fail have failed epically.

  17. Chap says:

    Isn’t this taken from terry Pratchetts Discworld????

  18. Hassan says:

    Everybody should read The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy from Douglas Adams.

  19. spoil sport says:

    its more of a fail fail. because its not at all a fail. its like flipping a coin. you have a 50/50 chance for either side. but it is possible to flip it ten times and get one of the two sides nine times.

  20. 5 eagles/5Finches/1fox/6cats/high5/owl C.C.C. says:

    Sorry didn’t read book watched the movie instead does that count Qwaz.
    So lets clear the house and start fresh.

    • Zigi says:

      The movie is okay but the book is amazing. The TV and radio series are also excellent. The radio series was actually the first version, the book came later. Every version is quite different.

      • 5 eagles/high5/1finches/1fox/1cats/1vole/owl/caterpiller/1femur C.C.C says:

        I don’t remember the TV series. Hey does anyone remember Puff and Stuff?

      • Brain the size of a planet that one!

        • 5 eagles/high5/1finches/1fox/1cats/1vole/owl/caterpiller/1femur C.C.C says:

          No it was sorta of like The Wizard of Oz and it had dragons and the talking diamond flute? And big creatures that looked like MC Cheeseburger from MacDonald, and a English speaking teenager.

  21. Alycia says:

    Who hired this guy?

  22. Dr Gonzo says:

    Reminds me of NAKED GUN
    “Doctors say that Nordberg has a 50 – 50 chance of living, though there’s only a 10 percent chance of that”

  23. Daniel says:

    That capture is from http://blog.abstinence.net/2008/06/03/playing-with-fire/ .

    In fairness, one should note that the relationship between probability and frequency of occurrence is not uncontroversial amongst theorists. But even amongst those who believe that probability is a measure of belief (rather than a frequency as such), there is typically a belief that judgmental probability should approximately equal frequency of occurrence in large samples.

  24. ObsidianWalrus says:

    Hmm, i’ve got a question, how do i change my profile pic so it shows up in the comments?

  25. annie says:

    People keep criticising the lack of recognition for statistical humour. What they don’t realise is that the fail was directed merely at the banner head.

  26. PanPan says:

    Hello everyone !

    First of all please excuse my english, i really don’t master this language.

    The Setence is true, there no mistake with it.
    50/50 -> 50 you get hurt, 50 you don’t. there’s only 2 choice.
    9 out 10 you get hurt ….
    It isn’t say that the dice thrown is equilibrate :) !

    Probabilities are really hard to understand because there are not always logical.

    And like Rincewind will said : “1/1Billion Chance happens 9 out 10 times” !

  27. Edogg says:

    I think the lesson here is that religious zealots (because who else supports abstinence?) are just bad at math.

  28. krazelikafox says:

    yeah and these are the same people who came up with the “scientific” theory of intelligent design.

  29. N/A says:

    It’s from World Net Daily, the whole site is one big fail.

    • The Mysterious Mr. Rius says:

      That was my first thought too. But many people don’t understand that… and some of them vote.

  30. Bob says:

    Remember,
    If you have too many irons in the fire and too many balls in the air – you’ll lend up with your balls in the fire.

  31. Steve says:

    5/4 people can’t do fractions

  32. Mana says:

    Rofl, even with the fail fractions, both are wrong anyway, I’ve been playing with fire for years without anything going wrong.

  33. Antelieris says:

    Statistics understanding fail. A percentage of chance doesn’t mean it will always happen that many times out of that many attempts. A 50/50 chance does not mean that half the time it happens and the other half it doesn’t. Given, though, they could have stated it better.

    Read properly, this statement is as follows: There is only two outcomes of playing with matches; either nothing will happen, or a dangerous fire will break out. Nine times out of ten, the latter happens.

    • KR says:

      But that’s not what it says. Saying there are two outcomes is not the same as a 50/50 chance. Attempting to explain a statistics understanding fail fail.

  34. Breadbox says:

    Abstinence from what? Math class? And what does Clearinghouse mean, anyway? Is that some kind of innuendo?

  35. Dave says:

    That’s almost straight out of the mouth of Yogi Berra.

  36. Aaron says:

    50% of the time, it works everytime.

  37. Which part of this is a fail – the abysmal math skills or the fact that it links to World Net Daily?

  38. p.h. says:

    I didn’t know Yogi Berra did PSA’s.

  39. mourn says:

    Why would you expect more from religious fundamentalists. Facts are the enemy.

  40. CDNLP says:

    Wow you guys are stupid. There is nothing wrong with the accused “FAIL”. Just because its a 50/50 chance, doesn’t mean it will be 5/10. You can have a 50% chance of winning the lottery and end up winning it 9 times out of 10…. So… The Only REAL FAIL, is the fact that you guys are too stupid to understand the statement. Go take some math…

    • KR says:

      Actually, you are stupid. It is true that you could win the lottery 9 times out of ten, at a 50/50 chance. However, that is not analogous to what she said. The 9/10 is not based on any data, not based on a specific 10 attempts, it is a generalization. She generalizes that something bad DOES happen 9/10 times, not that she tried it and it DID happen 9/10 times. Therefore, she posits both a 50% chance and then a 90% chance in the same sentence. Therefore, fail.

      To use your analogy more accurately, it’s as if she said that there is a lottery with a 50/50 chance, and everyone who plays always wins the lottery 9 times out of 10.

  41. Bah says:

    It’s not a fail. It’s clearly meant to be a funny/clever statement; I can’t believe so many people haven’t picked that up. It’s like the statement ‘Winning is 90% mental, 15% skill, and the rest is just hard work’.

    Not a FAIL :P

  42. Bwggy says:

    Sixty percent of the time it works every time

  43. Me says:

    You realize this is in correspondence with Murphy’s law, right?

    Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong, etc., etc.

  44. olo says:

    Is it a paradox?

  45. Gorgon Medusa says:

    Your mother, she’s an heiress
    Owns a block in St John’s Wood.

  46. jdkchem says:

    Sounds more like something Yogi Berra would have said. On the other hand there is nothing technically wrong with the statement if you actually understand probability and statistics.

    • KR says:

      If you actually understand English, you would understand that it is still a fail.

      • Me says:

        If you actually were not completely moronic, you’d understand.

        • KR says:

          Actually, I do understand. You do not.

          • Me says:

            Mhmm, ok. Sure.

            I bet you’re so smart.

            • C2k says:

              It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to realize they completely contradict themselves. First they say a 50% chance, then they say 9/10, or for those 4 out of 3 ppl bad with fractions, is 90%. And those of us who passed pre algebra know that 50% does not equal 90%. This fails 10 times out of 9. Its a fail and a half.

              • Myself says:

                dude you fail hard. the statement is absolutely true. there IS a 50% chance that something might happen. there is also a 50% chance that nothing happens. So out of 10 times it is possible that 10 times something happens or 10 times nothing happens . all combinations are possible. AND somebody who actually took the time to make a statistic about it found out, that 9 times out of 10 something actually happens. Take this example: the chance of you getting laid a day is 50/50, out of 10 days 9 days nothing WILL happen. doesn’t say it couldn’t happen. but statistically speaking (if someone would actually bother to study your sexlife) chances are high nothing will happen. The possibility that something could/n’t happen has nothing to do with the possibility how often it could/n’t happen -> two completely different things. hope that clears stuff up for you.

  47. TP Fan says:

    Not a fail, this is totally true

  48. qbert says:

    Thousand to one chances happen nine out of ten times!

  49. Snow_Crash says:

    Scientists have determined that million to one chances happen nine times out of ten.

  50. earthlingmike says:

    Like how with abstinence, there is a zero chance of getting pregnant, but that doesn’t always work.

    • Gladiator763 says:

      The only way you can get pregnant on abstinence is artificial insemination. If you screw before “I do”, then you run that risk.

  51. Mattie says:

    Actually, that’s not necessarily wrong. There are 2 possible outcomes when “playing with fire” – something goes wrong or it doesn’t… aka a 50/50 chance of something going wrong.
    The next thing he is saying is that in actuality 9 out of 10 times it actually does go wrong.

    Just like saying if you flip a coin there’s a 50/50 chance of getting heads, but then when you actually put that to the test its possible that 9 times out of 10 you get heads.

    • RaNDM G says:

      It’s good to know there’s at least 1 in every 6,789,906,834 people on this planet who actually cares about statistics.

  52. Just_spiffy says:

    Well, you know what they say. Every 4 out of 3 people have trouble with fractions…

  53. gdot says:

    hahah good, i am not going crazy thinking its right.

  54. C2k says:

    60% of the time, it works every time.

  55. Fang says:

    Um, no, win. Not in a news article, perhaps; that’s a bit weird, but this is quite a common sentiment to refer to the fact that a lot of statistics don’t work out the way you would expect them to.

    Another one is “million to one chances occur 9 times out of 10″

  56. Howie13 says:

    This sounds like a saying I used and heard a lot in the navy, 50/50 90. It means given a fifty fifty choice the wrong choice will be made 90% of the time

  57. I hate fails that make me think…

  58. Neinna says:

    84.342.7% of statistics are made up on the spot. OH WAIT—

    *Fwoom*


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